All star is bestJoe Torre - gets a large boost from hc,lhr stadiumsI'm attaching my formula's I calculated here if they are of interest to anyone.
It then factors those trends into the past performance of those players to come up with projections.The system uses statistics from the previous four years for players from ages 24-38, and it weights more recent seasons heavier. It won't make a bad hitter a good hitter, but it can nudge an above average player to a really solid guy on the team. I did consider trying to do it.1b = (1st baseman infield range + 1st baseman infield error + infield arm * 2 / 70 + turn dp * 2 / 70) * (1 + (height [in cm] - 155) / 15) / 2cf = (((outfield range * 2 - 125) / 25 * 43) + ((outfield arm * 2 - 125) / 25 * 1.75) + ((outfield error * 2 - 125) / 25 * 3.5) + 78) / 2Keith Hernandez (see note on 2b.silver Hernandez)rf = (((outfield range * 2 - 125) / 25 * 25.5) + ((outfield arm * 2 - 125) / 25 * 11) + ((outfield error * 2 - 125) / 25 * 4) + 129) / 22b = (((infield range * 2 - 125) / 25 * 21.5) + ((infield arm * 2 - 125) / 25 * 1.5) + ((turn dp * 2 - 125) / 25 * 9) + ((infield error * 2 - 125) / 25 * 8.25) + 129) / 2Does this change who we target? [Our ratings are] based on ZIPS, but then we make changes to get players to fit on the rosters, start on the right levels and play in their right roles.Like other projection systems, ZiPS uses past performance and aging trends to develop a future projection for players. I think he's lower rated for me just because of that fact.Bill Terry - gains the most from hc,lhrAvoid K's (personally I don't think they matter at all, though I expect this to be a contentious point)eye > 50: ((eye rating)-1)*2-50The pitching team would be interesting. If you wanted, I'm sure you could build an all out offense no defense team that would hit very well, although your pitching may suffer for it.
Having said that, there are some differences.So, to recap, in Dynasty all you had to worry about was a player’s previous season play. Get your hands on one and just keep them forever. I’m just getting started in an entry league and have a team that on paper should be middle of the pack, but I’m almost in last place. Your formulas are way more sophisticated though!Scott Hatteberg - low defense, but clearly best offenseRE: Reyes and Murphy - yeah I'm sure there are a lot of guys I'm missing, but I only went through my available auction house players once and it took forever, so I hadn't thought to keep going through them. What's your team? I haven't done any work as to the tradeoffs of extra offense vs extra defense, but I went by the assumption that good defense may win me some games. So the out of the box pitcher projections just won’t match 100% perfectly.The weighting would work the other way too. They're in the database now.In addition, I calculated defense from the base stats (catcher ability, infield range, outfield arm, ...) so that I could project players to other positions. I like to play without paying money, so I needed to know who the true hidden gems were of the league. We'll see though, because it would make my work a lot easier!if infield range <= 45 = infield range * 2/3I've done something similiar as well by collecting all the player information in a Google Sheet and then coming up with a formula to decide who best fits my team. Len Barker - by far the best silver pitcherif control <= 50 = 245.433 - 1.635 * (control * 2)John Wockenfuss - yes a bronze player still leads the pack because of his hitting abilityThe past two seasons I've been focusing on guys with Gap Power, Speed, and great defense. No clue though.catcher = (((catcher ability * 2 - 125) / 25 * 19.5) + ((catcher arm * 2 - 125) / 25 * 19.5) + 133) / 2Keith Hernandez - better than Aramis in a hc,lhr worldHere are the best of those with low defenseThere's really a dropoff after these two, so just target one of them.innings pitched = 214 + (stuff * 2) * 0.162Note: The 1st baseman list isn't exhaustive because I didn't have infield ratings for many outfielders when I saw them, so be aware that some star outfielders may have the chops to play here.I had the rookie Ichiro. )Another factor is that I believe the ZIPS projections we used we got directly from Dan and they were an earlier version that what you see on Fangraphs f.e.
It seems to work well but still no championships.Todd Hundley - reasonable hitting (although not great), good D.Do you have any thoughts on global strategy setting?Jody Davis - High defense, pretty good offenseI also wonder about creating a team with pitchers who have lower "stuff" while all of your defenders are studs. To get an idea about how players will be rated next year, download and take a look.Then there’s the issue that the pitcher’s projections are influenced by the gb% and how we calculate that is quite a bit different than how some other places do.
If you wanted, I'm sure you could build an all out offense no defense team that would hit very well, although your pitching may suffer for it. And OOTP has been kind enough to provide us with some high stuff pitchers in the bronze and silver tiers to work with.
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